Michael Lewis, author of “The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine”, talks about the Wall Street casino on 60 Minutes. The Times reviewed his book this morning. Meanwhile, it is clear that the financial reform package that Sen. Dodd is planning to unveil this afternoon is far from being a humdinger. Also these United States risks losing our triple A rating...  The downgrade really should mean zilch given the fact that rating companies like Moody's are part of the casino...

In response to recent news that homeowners were coolly walking away from their 'underwater' homes, a wall street economist said recently that borrowers were not victims - they “signed contracts, and as adults should also be held accountable”. My response is simple: Give us a single instance where an 'adult' was punished for the reckless financial practices promoted on Wall Street... Keep walking away - may your ilk increase!!! ... Other ironies of the day include the news that AIG will distribute about $100 million in bonuses today to "adults" working at its financial products unit, which traded in the derivatives that imploded in September 2008, leading to the biggest government bailout ($182 BILLION) in history. The gravy train on the casino never amazes me – there is also news that the CEO of Goldman Sachs will receive $100 million in bonuses.

Cleaning up Wall Street Oligarchy

Interesting ideas from the Atlantic on cleaning up the detritus of large banks looming over on Wall Street.

Cleaning up the megabanks will be complex. And it will be expensive for the taxpayer; according to the latest IMF numbers, the cleanup of the banking system would probably cost close to $1.5trillion (or 10percent of our GDP) in the long term. But only decisive government action—exposing the full extent of the financial rot and restoring some set of banks to publicly verifiable health—can cure the financial sector as a whole. This may seem like strong medicine. But in fact, while necessary, it is insufficient. The second problem the U.S. faces—the power of the oligarchy—is just as important as the immediate crisis of lending. And the advice from the IMF on this front would again be simple: break the oligarchy. Oversize institutions disproportionately influence public policy; the major banks we have today draw much of their power from being too big to fail. Nationalization and re-privatization would not change that; while the replacement of the bank executives who got us into this crisis would be just and sensible, ultimately, the swapping-out of one set of powerful managers for another would change only the names of the oligarchs.

Ideally, big banks should be sold in medium-size pieces, divided regionally or by type of business. Where this proves impractical—since we’ll want to sell the banks quickly—they could be sold whole, but with the requirement of being broken up within a short time. Banks that remain in private hands should also be subject to size limitations. This may seem like a crude and arbitrary step, but it is the best way to limit the power of individual institutions in a sector that is essential to the economy as a whole. Of course, some people will complain about the “efficiency costs” of a more fragmented banking system, and these costs are real. But so are the costs when a bank that is too big to fail—a financial weapon of mass self-destruction—explodes. Anything that is too big to fail is too big to exist.

(via James Kwak of Baseline Scenario)

About that hedge fund called Iceland

A tale of Iceland where yesterday's fishermen suddenly morphed into investment bankers (and are 'unmorphing' right back into what they do best - fishing).

From Vanity Fair: When Neil Armstrong took his small step from Apollo 11 and looked around, he probably thought, Wow, sort of like Iceland—even though the
moon was nothing like Iceland. But then, he was a tourist, and a tourist can’t help but have a distorted opinion of a place: he meets unrepresentative people, has unrepresentative experiences, and runs around imposing upon the place the fantastic mental pictures he had in his head when he got there. When Iceland became a tourist in global high finance it had the same problem as Neil Armstrong. Icelanders are among the most inbred human beings on earth—geneticists often use them for research. They inhabited their remote island for 1,100 years without so much as dabbling in leveraged buyouts, hostile takeovers, derivatives trading, or even small-scale financial fraud. When, in 2003, they sat down at the same table with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, they had only the roughest idea of what an investment banker did and how he behaved—most of it gleaned from young Icelanders’ experiences at various American business schools. And so what they did with money probably says as much about the American soul, circa 2003, as it does about Icelanders. They understood instantly, for instance, that finance had less to do with productive enterprise than trading bits of paper among themselves. And when they lent money they didn’t simply facilitate enterprise but bankrolled friends and family, so that they might buy and own things, like real investment bankers: Beverly Hills condos, British soccer teams and department stores, Danish airlines and media companies, Norwegian banks, Indian power plants.

...Back away from the Icelandic economy and you can’t help but notice something really strange about it: the people have cultivated themselves to the point where they are unsuited for the work available to them. All these exquisitely schooled, sophisticated people, each and every one of whom feels special, are presented with two mainly horrible ways to earn a living: trawler fishing and aluminum smelting. There are, of course, a few jobs in Iceland that any refined, educated person might like to do. Certifying the nonexistence of elves, for instance.

Photo

Seen on the intersection of Clove Road and Victory Blvd, Staten Island, NY

From an essay last year on what a depression might look like in today's times...

By looking at what we know about how society and commerce would slow down, and how people respond, it's possible to envision what we might face. Unlike the 1930s, when food and clothing were far more expensive, today we spend much of our money on healthcare, child care, and education, and we'd see uncomfortable changes in those parts of our lives. The lines wouldn't be outside soup kitchens but at emergency rooms, and rather than itinerant farmers we could see waves of laid-off office workers leaving homes to foreclosure and heading for areas of the country where there's more work - or just a relative with a free room over the garage. Already hollowed-out manufacturing cities could be all but deserted, and suburban neighborhoods left checkerboarded, with abandoned houses next to overcrowded ones.
And above all, a depression circa 2009 might be a less visible and more isolating experience. With the diminishing price of televisions and the proliferation of channels, it's getting easier and easier to kill time alone, and free time is one thing a 21st-century depression would create in abundance. Instead of dusty farm families, the icon of a modern-day depression might be something as subtle as the flickering glow of millions of televisions glimpsed through living room windows, as the nation's unemployed sit at home filling their days with the cheapest form of distraction available.

So true...

From the March 2nd, 2009 issue of the New Yorker.

Comment on a recent report of brain drain

Yesterday, President Obama announced a $500K salary cap on executives of companies that were planning on using the bailout money from TARP funds. I immediately heard commentators on the evening radio (NPR) lamenting about a brain drain on Wall Street due to the reduced incentive structures. My view is that if these are the brains that have managed to get us into this financial sinkhole, then the right solution is to drain the place of such brains. No, we do not need brains of this nature gallivanting around Wall Street anymore. The brain drain might actually be a good thing for the nation.

Chart data from here.

Greed is good (also addictive)

The adjustments to life made by the spouse of a Wall Street banker after the banker's bonus was reduced (noticed in comments made on the DABA blog).

We’re looking at just enough money to make our mortgage payments, paying none of the principle down. So we aren’t going to lose the house yet, but we aren’t going to think about THAT until NEXT January. Meanwhile: My own dinky-by comparison salary, which had been my own since I went back to work so I could have the company of grownups, is no longer my own. It all will be spent on family expenses. The sitter’s hours are cut, both the family and my private credit card are cut in half, and I’m switching from having my facials and massages in my earthy, yoga-and-wine serving downtown spa to a midtown been-in-business-forever place with ladies in cubbies wearing pink jackets and lots of make-up giving facials only. I know, I know, only old people and gay men go there these days, but congested skin isn’t an alternative for me, so I have to go someplace. I’ll do it once every 6 weeks instead of monthly, and it is 1/3 the price of the facials at the spa. And I remember from the 80’s that they do a good job.

It gets worse. I’ll now be doing my pilates with others, in class, on the mat instead of on the machines with my private instructor. This truly frightens me. I could hurt myself competing with you 20-30 yr-olds. Private was so much less humiliating. And yes, cooking at home. We had been enjoying the new Whole Foods to-go foods section so very much. Oh well - hello Associated Market. Did you know you can sauté’ an entire bag of frozen spinach in a large frying pan with a bit of onion and olive oil, chop a bit of domestic feta into and serve it to your whole family with a squeeze of lemon, and it’s a healthy and cheap alternative to pasta as a main dish? It is so good for you and the kids love it. And we’ll need the alternative because there will be a lot of pasta. Cooking pasta sauce on the weekends isn’t my idea of a good time, but that’s what we will be doing because I’m not ready to do something original every day. I have always been a great appreciator of other people’s cooking.

Greed is good

From here:

Despite crippling losses, multibillion-dollar bailouts and the passing of some of the most prominent names in the business, employees at financial companies in New York, the now-diminished world capital of capital, collected an estimated $18.4 billion in bonuses for the year. That was the sixth-largest haul on record, according to a report released Wednesday by the New York State comptroller.
Many corporate governance experts, investors and lawmakers question why financial companies that have accepted taxpayer money paid any bonuses at all. Financial industry executives argue that they need to pay their best workers well in order to keep them, but with many banks cutting jobs, job options are dwindling, even for stars.

Wall Street Ponzi

Tom Friedman sees no difference between the Ponzi scheme run by Mr. Madoff and the Ponzi scheme run by Wall Street. I could not agree more.

I have no sympathy for Madoff. But the fact is, his alleged Ponzi scheme was only slightly more outrageous than the “legal” scheme that Wall Street was running, fueled by cheap credit, low standards and high greed. What do you call giving a worker who takes only $14,000 a year a nothing-down and nothing-to-pay-for-two-years mortgage to buy a $750,000 home, and then bundling that mortgage with 100 others into bonds — which Moody’s or Standard & Poors rate AAA — and then selling them to banks and pension funds the world over? That is what our financial industry was doing. If that isn’t a pyramid scheme, what is?

Retirement blues

Is the 401(k) beginning to look like a pipe dream? (via Reddit)

The 401(k) was the scheme of the century. Corporations offloaded their "burdensome" pensions and used the combined forces of the media and politicians to sell the ruse to the public, to the great benefit of Wall Street. Workers were told that the boom-slump cycle was over, and that stocks were a sure thing. There were additional factors to invest in stocks: interest rates were so low that investing in bonds and other less-risky instruments offered only tiny returns; and since employers stopped contributing to retirement funds, a bigger return was required. More importantly, corporations have been driving down real wages since the seventies, allowing less money to be saved for retirement, creating a mood of desperation. Every “safe bet” for investing has been proven unsafe; the recession has left nothing untouched. After the dotcom bubble burst — taking with it millions of people's 401(k) savings — the housing market became the place to invest. Now the safest possible investment, too, has turned sour. For millions of people, the home they lived in was their nest egg, which they had planned to sell and move into a smaller place. No more.

'Tis the season

As the annual bonus tree blooms again on Wall Street, firms that were used to making multimillion dollar payouts to incompetant bankers are finally making some practical changes to their compensation structures.

But it was Morgan Stanley’s claw-back announcement, which will affect some 7,000 workers, that captured the attention of employment lawyers and recruiters. It is similar to a rule introduced by UBS, the big Swiss bank, in late November, but Morgan’s is far broader in its language. Pay can be retracted from workers who engage in “conduct detrimental to the firm,” according to an internal memorandum announcing the move, or who cause “a restatement of results, a significant financial loss or other reputational harm.”

Morgan Stanley already holds on to 35 to 60 percent of high earners’ bonuses, but in the past it has held that money entirely in stock and stock options. Now a large portion will be cash, the bank said. “So if you’re a trader and you’ve had a huge year and you get paid a lot of money and then the following year it turns out you were taking outsize risk, we can go back and ding your pay from the year before,” said
Jeanmarie McFadden, a spokeswoman for Morgan Stanley.

Monday Quotable

"I have learned a long time ago. When they come up and say this has to be done and has to be done immediately, there is no other way of doing it, you have to sit back and take a deep breath and nine times out of 10 they are not telling the truth"

- Republican Senator Jim Inhofe asserting that Henry Paulson might have decided who to dole out the $700,000,000,000.00 taxpayer financed bailout money based on his Wall Street friendships.

It is funny, while Inhofe was referring to the extreme haste with which Sec. Paulson rushed the TARP legislation through Congress by invoking that 'all will be lost' if we do not pass it, one could almost apply Inhofe's comments verbatim to the case made for the Iraq war.
If we do not learn from history, we are condemned to repeat it again, again and again...

The Poker Game, Cassius Marcellus Coolidge (1844-1934), oil on canvas, 41" X 50". (Image from Sotheby's)